John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 9

KEEP IT EASY

C '22 · HARD SPUN × BOXWOOD

Trainer: ROMANS DALE · Jockey: LANERIE C J

Today's prediction

81.8

Speed fig

18.2%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +4.77
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.36
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.27
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.57
  • Speed Fig Consistency +0.34

Pushing prediction down

  • Field Size Change From Last -1.22
  • Today Field Size -1.19
  • Today Post Position -0.38
  • Today Track Code -0.34
  • Max Trouble Last 5 -0.20

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-18 KEE 6f Dirt 96 Stumbled st;lost rider
2026-03-04 TAM 1.06m Turf 6 8.8 78 88 Svd gnd;no kick
2025-11-24 MVR 6f Dirt 5 6.0 89 94 5p1/4;7p1/8;pass tired
2025-10-22 KEE 6f Dirt 2 0.3 93 96 Buried ins;bid;denied
2025-05-17 PIM 6f Dirt 11 15.0 67 94 Pop gte;brush;overland
2025-03-01 GP 1.06m Dirt 6 32.0 62 98 3wd; faltered; eased
2024-11-30 CD 6.5f Dirt 1 5.3 96 89 Stalk 4w;bid;kckd away
2024-08-10 SAR 6.5f Dirt 8 23.5 58 95 Stumbled badly start
2024-06-27 CD 6f Dirt 1 4.0 87 85 Ins;drew off;riddn out
2024-06-06 CD 5.5f Dirt 7 5.8 62 85 Track ins;chased;faded