John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R8

PP 5

KAPOOR

F '22 · UNCLE MO × KAREENA

Trainer: MOTT WILLIAM I · Jockey: ALVARADO JUNIOR

Today's prediction

89.9

Speed fig

41.5%

In-the-money

Last 6 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +7.22
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +2.18
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.24
  • Last Speed Fig +0.93
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.87

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.51
  • Today Purse Log10 -0.40
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -0.20
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.17
  • Distance Change From Last -0.14

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-08 KEE 7f Dirt 1 6.5 99 92 Clear 2p; geared down
2026-02-19 GP 6f Dirt 1 5.0 88 88 Pace 2path; driving
2026-01-23 TAM 6f Dirt 1 5.0 87 83 Reluctant load;2p; clr
2025-05-31 CD 7f Dirt 1 4.3 91 86 Loose 2p;kicked away
2025-04-07 KEE 6f Dirt 3 2.8 85 88 Vie 2w-3pbtw;naild plc
2025-02-09 GP 6f Dirt 3 3.8 82 86 Reluctant to load; 3wd