John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 3

KALAHARI DREAMS

G '22 · COUNTRY HOUSE × GEORGIA CLAY

Trainer: BAUER PHILIP A · Jockey: SHEEHY DANNY

Today's prediction

85.5

Speed fig

22.2%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +4.78
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.65
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.51
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.16
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.87

Pushing prediction down

  • Field Size Change From Last -1.08
  • Today Field Size -1.01
  • Distance Change From Last -0.20
  • Num Career Starts -0.17
  • Field Avg Quirin -0.11

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-18 KEE 6f Dirt 3 11.8 78 96 Chased ins; no bid
2025-12-19 OP 6f Dirt 3 5.3 92 91 5w rally; clear rest
2025-11-08 CD 6.5f Dirt 2 2.3 94 2wbtw;4-5p;kept at bay
2025-09-14 CD 6f Dirt 2 4.0 86 3w;4p upr;bid;outkickd
2025-08-24 SAR 6.5f Dirt 1 2.8 94 95 Ins turn;2p1/4;respond
2025-07-19 SAR 7f Dirt 5 8.5 84 95 4-3path turn;no threat
2025-07-03 ELP 7f Dirt 9 14.3 73 Chased ins; wknd
2025-06-01 CD 7f Dirt 1 0.8 96 90 Stalk 4-2w;vied;dueled
2025-03-12 FG 1.06m Dirt 4 2.8 88 88 Brk thru;3w;btw;brushd
2025-02-15 FG 6f Dirt 2 1.3 86 88 Ins;wait/outkkd;ran on