John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Saratoga R11

PP 7

JOURNALISM

C '22 · CURLIN × MOPOTISM

Trainer: MCCARTHY MICHAEL W · Jockey: ORTIZ JOSE L

Today's prediction

102.4

Speed fig

50.9%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +9.38
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +4.01
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +3.47
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.51
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +1.12

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Speed Fig Career -0.55
  • Starts Last 180d -0.42
  • Num Career Starts -0.28
  • Tj Combo Win Rate 365d -0.18
  • Jockey Meet Itm Rate -0.14

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-18 OP 1.13m Dirt 3 3.3 104 102 Frac gate;2-4p;bid3/8
2025-11-01 DMR 1.25m Dirt 4 3.8 111 105 2wd;bid4-3deep;flatten
2025-08-30 DMR 1.25m Dirt 2 3.3 108 105 Bpd st;2-3w;2nd best
2025-07-19 MTH 1.13m Dirt 1 0.5 105 103 3-4w; surged late
2025-06-07 SAR 1.25m Dirt 2 3.0 108 102 Bobld aftr st;4-3w 1st
2025-05-17 PIM 1.19m Dirt 1 0.5 107 102 Thru tight 3/16;surged
2025-05-03 CD 1.25m Dirt 2 1.5 102 102 Bid 5w; led; gave in
2025-04-05 SA 1.13m Dirt 1 0.8 108 103 Shuffled/bpd7/16;tip3w
2025-03-01 SA 1.06m Dirt 1 1.8 104 98 Ins-3wd2nd;best late
2024-12-14 LRC 1.06m Dirt 1 3.5 99 95 3w;aim4w;going away