John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R3

PP 5

JOHN HANCOCK

C '22 · CONSTITUTION × SCRIBBLING SARAH

Trainer: COX BRAD H · Jockey: ORTIZ IRAD JR

Today's prediction

90.2

Speed fig

34.1%

In-the-money

Last 3 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +8.26
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +2.33
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.21
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +1.18
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.83

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -1.47
  • Days Since Last Race -0.81
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.23
  • Starts Last 180d -0.15
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.14

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2025-03-22 FG 1.19m Dirt 4 6.3 93 98 Ins;met bid3/8;gave wy
2025-02-08 TAM 1.06m Dirt 1 0.5 97 94 Ins;duel;determinedly
2025-01-08 TAM 6f Dirt 1 3.0 88 84 Hop;burst;2-3w;mld ask