John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R5

PP 5

IZZY D'ORO

H '21 · GET STORMY × COLOGNE

Trainer: MCPEEK KENNETH G · Jockey: ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL

Today's prediction

81.5

Speed fig

38.6%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +4.40
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.04
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.00
  • Last Speed Fig +0.36
  • Speed Fig Consistency +0.33

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.43
  • Today Track Code -0.36
  • BRIS Mud Pedigree -0.27
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.21
  • Num Career Starts -0.20

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-05-07 CD 1m Turf 6 6.3 83 92 2-3p;5p1/4;no bid btwn
2026-03-20 TP 1.06m Dirt 7 8.3 80 92 Saved ground;no avail
2025-06-14 MTH 1.13m Turf 6 34.3 53 94 Pressed; gave way
2025-04-26 GP 1.06m Turf 5 1.3 87 88 Outside;2p;improved
2024-09-07 CNL 1.13m Turf 9 15.5 69 91 Inside; gave way
2024-08-11 SAR 1.19m Turf 5 9.0 91 96 In hand 2p; weakened
2024-06-23 MTH 1.06m Turf 4 5.0 76 87 Vied inside; dug in
2024-04-26 KEE 1.19m Turf 1 0.8 85 Scooted clear; lasted
2024-03-23 GP 1.06m Dirt 1 1.8 82 86 3p;bid far;ins str;clr
2024-02-10 GP 1m Turf 4 2.3 75 86 Press 3wd; outfinished