John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R6

PP 4

IN THE STARS

F '22 · INTO MISCHIEF × STELLAR WIND

Trainer: ARNOLD GEORGE R II · Jockey: MORALES EDGAR

Today's prediction

89.6

Speed fig

32.5%

In-the-money

Last 9 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +7.06
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.60
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.85
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.77
  • Last Speed Fig +0.55

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.22
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.21
  • Today Weight -0.11
  • Field Early Speed Count -0.08
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -0.08

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-10 KEE 1.06m Turf 1 0.1 91 2wbtw;4-5p2nd;bid;duel
2025-11-28 CD 1.06m Turf 7 3.5 89 89 3w;7p upr;no menae
2025-10-03 KEE 1m Turf 1 0.1 86 86 2-4w;bid;up 1/16;held
2025-08-30 KD 1m Turf 1 7.0 86 79 Swept to lead 6w;clear
2025-06-29 CD 1m Dirt 5 11.3 83 84 Brshd;closer ins;tired
2025-05-10 CD 1m Turf 2 1.5 74 81 2wbtw;5p upr;bid;outkk
2025-04-06 KEE 1.06m Dirt 6 15.8 76 84 3-2pbtw;3w1/4;no bid
2025-03-16 GP 6f Dirt 3 6.8 76 86 Chase;4p;kept on
2024-09-13 CD 6f Dirt 9 17.5 59 83 Lean in st;2-4p;no bid