John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R2

PP 1

IN FOR A SPIN

F '22 · HARD SPUN × CONQUEST SUPERSTEP

Trainer: CARAMORI CAIO · Jockey: MACHADO LUAN

Today's prediction

75.0

Speed fig

49.3%

In-the-money

Last 5 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Last Speed Fig +0.36
  • Today Post Position +0.31
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.30
  • Today Field Size +0.29
  • Today Track Code +0.21

Pushing prediction down

  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.67
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.62
  • Distance Change From Last -0.61
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.46
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.44

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-15 KEE 6f Dirt 3 2.5 80 83 2p-ins;up place;bested
2026-03-18 TP 6f Dirt 3 6.8 64 77 Ins;up place1/4;outkck
2026-02-14 TP 6.5f Dirt 3 9.3 68 78 Trck ins;edge plc late
2024-10-18 KEE 7f Dirt 5 11.8 66 86 Ins winnr;headd1/4;wkn
2024-09-20 CD 6.5f Dirt 10 17.0 51 83 Stdy 11/16;ins;left ld