John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R4

PP 1

ILLINI

G '21 · HEART TO HEART × ALLONS DANSER

Trainer: VANDEN BERG BRITTANY A · Jockey: CEDILLO ABEL

Today's prediction

76.4

Speed fig

35.7%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.71
  • Today Post Position +0.23
  • Days Since Last Race +0.19
  • Distance Change From Last +0.17
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.15

Pushing prediction down

  • Last Speed Fig -0.25
  • BRIS Prime Power -0.13
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max -0.12
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.12
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.11

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-25 CD 6f Dirt 4 9.8 69 84 Vied ins winner; faded
2026-04-08 IND 6f Dirt 1 1.3 79 84 Inside;lasted;mild drv
2026-03-12 MVR 6f Dirt 4 2.8 82 86 3-4w;left lead stretch
2026-02-25 MVR 5.5f Dirt 2 2.5 78 84 Ins; split3w; chsd on
2025-12-27 TP 6f Dirt 9 8.5 71 84 4p;7p1/8;faded;left ld
2025-12-10 MVR 5.5f Dirt 1 4.3 89 86 Ins-3p; cued1/4; clear
2025-11-15 CD 6f Dirt 8 15.0 70 86 Chased inside; empty
2025-10-30 MVR 6f Dirt 2 1.5 85 86 Vied inside;outfinishd
2025-09-30 BTP 5f Turf 5 4.5 62 81 Rail turn;wide upper
2025-09-17 BTP 6f Dirt 1 9.3 83 80 Set pace; drew off