John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R3

PP 6

IL CAVALLINO

G '22 · INTO MISCHIEF × DAISY

Trainer: SWEEZEY J KENT · Jockey: SAEZ GABRIEL

Today's prediction

77.7

Speed fig

55.0%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.31
  • Today Track Code +0.25
  • BRIS Prime Power +0.23
  • BRIS Dirt Pedigree +0.22
  • BRIS Turf Pedigree +0.20

Pushing prediction down

  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.26
  • Last Speed Fig -0.25
  • Field Early Speed Count -0.14
  • Today Post Position -0.12
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Last -0.10

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-28 CD 7f Dirt 6 5.0 69 86 Press 2w;bid btw;tired
2026-04-08 KEE 7f Dirt 2 1.8 84 84 5p;bid 4p1/4;outkicked
2026-02-26 FG 6f Dirt 4 4.0 79 85 Attnd pace 2w;weakened
2026-02-06 FG 1.06m Turf 7 6.3 72 83 Mid; 5w; no rally
2026-01-19 FG 6f Dirt 9 15.5 68 91 Bmpd btwn st; 3p turn
2025-11-02 CD 6f Dirt 4 4.3 81 89 Stalk 2p;4p upr;chased
2025-09-09 PID 6f Dirt 1 0.5 74 78 Getting in uppr;gd fin
2025-08-01 ELP 5.5f Turf 11 8.5 71 82 2p;5p3/16;never invlvd
2025-06-26 CD 5.5f Dirt 2 1.5 79 85 Rallied rail; gaining
2025-05-24 CD 1m Dirt 9 13.5 75 90 Chased ins-2p; wknd