John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R11

PP 2

IFYOUSAIDSO

F '23 · CAJUN BREEZE × THELADYSAIDNO

Trainer: D'ANGELO JOSE FRANCISCO · Jockey: SAEZ LUIS

Today's prediction

78.5

Speed fig

5.1%

In-the-money

Last 5 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +4.93
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.79
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.41
  • Weight Change From Last +0.23
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.18

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -1.13
  • Today Purse Log10 -0.96
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.82
  • Today Track Code -0.49
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.37

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-03 GP 5f Dirt 4 3.5 74 85 Bmpst; chsd ins; even
2026-01-08 GP 5f Turf 1 0.5 88 85 Dueled ins;bid;driving
2025-12-04 GP 5f Turf 2 3.3 79 79 Bump st; 3wd bid
2025-06-13 GP 5f Dirt 1 5.3 84 83 Showed speed;held sway
2025-05-29 GP 4.5f Dirt 3 0.8 74 84 Rail;prompted;sharp