John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R1

PP 13

IF IF IF

F '23 · BASIN × DOC MO'S DAUGHTER

Trainer: HARTMAN CHRIS · Jockey: HERNANDEZ B J JR

Today's prediction

76.6

Speed fig

18.9%

In-the-money

Last 2 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +3.50
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.45
  • Weight Change From Last +0.25
  • Today Track Code +0.25
  • Last Speed Fig +0.23

Pushing prediction down

  • Field Size Change From Last -1.29
  • Today Field Size -1.08
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -1.08
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.66
  • Class Par Trend -0.31

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-18 OP 6f Dirt 1 8.8 83 79 2p-rail; kicked away
2025-05-31 CD 5f Dirt 2 0.8 75 84 Check 9/16;3-6p;lug in