John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 1

I'M MCDREAMY

H '21 · HARD SPUN × NIGHT WITCH

Trainer: ORTIZ JOHN ALEXANDER · Jockey: ROSADO JOHAN

Today's prediction

82.4

Speed fig

19.6%

In-the-money

Last 7 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +4.05
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.48
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.01
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.66
  • Num Career Starts +0.24

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -1.21
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.46
  • Distance Change From Last -0.22
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.18
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -0.18

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-17 OP 6f Dirt 6 10.5 76 Duel3p;cued5/16;yield
2025-03-29 OP 1m Dirt 6 25.8 70 99 Settld;nothing for str
2025-03-01 OP 1m Dirt 1 3.8 94 95 Rated; plenty left
2025-01-18 OP 1m Dirt 6 4.5 87 95 Veered brk;traffic 1st
2024-12-07 TP 1m Dirt 1 5.5 90 86 Well measured pace
2024-10-31 CD 6.5f Dirt 3 3.3 81 91 Vie 2wbtw-ins;bstd upr
2024-09-22 CD 6f Dirt 3 4.5 84 91 4-w; closed strongly