John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Belmont at The Big A R10

PP 5

I'M DUE

G '22 · WAR DANCER × CANDELABRA

Trainer: SWEEZEY J KENT · Jockey: CARMOUCHE K

Today's prediction

75.1

Speed fig

21.0%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.90
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.25
  • Trainer Meet Starts Log +0.15
  • Last Speed Fig +0.15
  • Today Purse Log10 +0.14

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -1.72
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.40
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.36
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.25
  • Today Field Size -0.16

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-26 GP 1.06m Turf 2 0.5 79 83 Ins;bid3w;outkicked
2026-03-29 GP 1.04m Dirt 6 9.5 65 80 Chased; no response
2026-03-12 GP 1.06m Turf 4 4.0 74 82 Press3w;bid2w;wknd str
2026-02-20 GP 1m Turf 3 5.8 77 83 Off slow; 2wd
2026-01-18 GP 1.06m Dirt 9 9.3 79 86 Inside; empty
2025-12-13 GP 1m Turf 6 9.8 74 87 Failed to menace; 2wd
2025-10-11 BAQ 1m Turf 7 11.3 71 83 3w1st;pressed2w;tired
2025-09-12 BAQ 1.06m Turf 4 6.8 81 82 Bumped st; wknd late
2025-08-14 SAR 1m Dirt 5 25.0 57 92 Bumped 7 1/2; tired
2025-07-17 SAR 1.06m Turf 5 25.8 66 85 Bumped st; tired