John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R4

PP 8

I'M A COOKIE LOVER

M '21 · NOBLE MISSION × PRINCESS AUBREY

Trainer: KERRICK LACY · Jockey: CURTIS BEN

Today's prediction

67.2

Speed fig

27.2%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.27
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.24
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.20
  • Speed Fig Consistency +0.18
  • Weight Change From Last +0.17

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -6.39
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.80
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.68
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.59
  • Field Avg Quirin -0.57

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-26 CD 6f Dirt 4 9.8 61 78 Ins-2p;wait 1/4;no bid
2026-03-20 TP 6.5f Dirt 4 2.8 73 76 4p;3p upr;stay;held4th
2026-02-28 TP 6f Dirt 7 9.5 66 76 4p;6p btw 3/16;no bid
2026-02-06 TP 6f Dirt 7 1.8 79 79 6-8p;ran on;leveld off
2025-10-15 IND 1m Turf 10 20.8 52 75 No factor
2025-07-19 ELP 6.5f Dirt 8 14.0 65 80 Trailed throughout
2025-06-27 CD 6.5f Dirt 8 7.8 74 87 Rated2p;no closing bid
2025-05-17 CD 5.5f Turf 9 7.5 74 87 Off slow;saved ground
2025-03-13 TP 6f Dirt 3 3.0 79 77 Bid str settled for 3d
2025-02-23 TP 6.5f Dirt 5 3.5 75 77 Btwn turn evenly str