John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 7

I GOT GAME

G '22 · GAME WINNER × BABY NINA

Trainer: LAROSE KINNON · Jockey: CONCEPCION AXEL

Today's prediction

81.5

Speed fig

21.8%

In-the-money

Last 9 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +4.18
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.84
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.63
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.57
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.41

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -1.09
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.46
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.32
  • Distance Change From Last -0.22
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.21

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-17 OP 6f Dirt 4 5.0 85 Bump st; 3-5p; 1paced
2025-02-17 OP 6f Dirt 1 3.5 86 94 Brk in;3w bid;kckd clr
2025-01-12 FG 5.5f Dirt 2 1.3 88 88 Stalked 3w;chased well
2024-12-21 OP 6f Dirt 1 0.3 82 88 Tight brk;3w;held sway
2024-10-27 CD 6f Dirt 5 3.5 84 84 Track ins-2p;chs evnly
2024-09-19 CD 6.5f Dirt 2 0.1 79 85 Stalk 3w-4p;bid;game
2024-08-03 SAR 6f Dirt 5 4.5 84 88 Lost foot st; bump 2x
2024-06-20 CD 5.5f Dirt 4 12.0 66 85 Stdy early;split/brush
2024-05-30 CD 5.5f Dirt 2 1.3 75 85 Stalked 3p;kept at bay