John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 9

HOT PROPERTY

C '22 · MEDAGLIA D'ORO × MILWAUKEE APPEAL

Trainer: JACOBSON DAVID · Jockey: GAFFALIONE TYLER

Today's prediction

78.0

Speed fig

48.2%

In-the-money

Last 6 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.74
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.66
  • Last Speed Fig +0.30
  • Num Career Starts +0.25
  • Today Track Code +0.23

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.52
  • Today Post Position -0.36
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.30
  • Class Par Trend -0.20
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.20

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-10 KEE 1.06m Dirt 3 1.5 82 87 Ins;chsd 4p1/4;left ld
2026-03-12 FG 1.06m Dirt 5 11.0 78 87 Trck 3-4w;no rally
2025-04-23 KEE 1.19m Turf 11 21.8 59 Step slow;ins;outrun
2025-01-30 FG 1.06m Turf 3 2.5 85 87 Ins;ran on;denied plc
2025-01-04 OP 1.06m Dirt 5 11.5 68 94 4w 2nd;no response
2024-11-24 FG 1.06m Dirt 1 3.8 87 85 Set pace; drove clear