John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R1

PP 1

HOT GAMER

F '22 · GAME WINNER × HOT COFFEE

Trainer: ASMUSSEN STEVEN M · Jockey: ORTIZ JOSE L

Today's prediction

66.9

Speed fig

55.5%

In-the-money

Last 2 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Today Track Code +0.57
  • Today Post Position +0.31
  • Distance Change From Last +0.28
  • Speed Fig Consistency +0.22
  • Class Par Trend +0.12

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -3.60
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -1.37
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -1.11
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.97
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.94

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-05-07 CD 6f Dirt 9 18.5 50 79 Vied 3w;wknd btw 5/16
2026-03-06 OP 6f Dirt 2 0.8 74 72 Bump st; bid 2p 5/16