Derby 2026
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PP 11

HONOR AZTECA

F '23 · HONOR A. P. × ECONOMY OF MOTION

Trainer: DESORMEAUX J KEITH · Jockey: ALVARADO JUNIOR

Today's prediction

72.5

Speed fig

16.7%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 83.2 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Class Par Trend +0.23
  • Prior Starts At Churchill +0.19
  • Speed Fig At Similar Distance Mean +0.18
  • Starts Last 180d +0.17
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.16

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -9.22
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -1.00
  • Max Speed Fig Career -0.76
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.35
  • Days Since Last Race -0.35

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-09 KEE 1.06m Dirt 6 21.8 68 87 Trailed ins; outrun
2026-02-27 FG 1.04m Dirt 2 0.8 75 79 Trail; 6wbid; held off
2026-01-30 FG 1m Turf 1 1.8 72 70 Trail; surged outs; up
2026-01-09 FG 1.06m Turf 3 1.8 74 70 Adv; mild rally late
2025-12-26 FG 1m Turf 7 3.5 65 72 Trailed most
2025-11-28 CD 1.06m Dirt 3 13.8 65 72 3-2p;stayed on mildly
2025-10-22 KEE 1.06m Dirt 6 10.3 62 80 Saved ground; no avail
2025-09-13 CNL 1.06m Turf 4 4.8 76 70 2-3 wide;no final bid
2025-08-28 CNL 1m Turf 2 1.8 69 72 Last away;5w rally
2025-08-13 CNL 6f Dirt 7 22.3 46 74 Brk in;3w;angl in turn