John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R6

PP 1

HONKY TONK HIGHWAY

G '21 · CITY OF LIGHT × SHARED HUMOR

Trainer: SHARP JOE · Jockey: ORTIZ JOSE L

Today's prediction

87.2

Speed fig

54.3%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +5.74
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.29
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.09
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.74
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.55

Pushing prediction down

  • Field Size Change From Last -0.36
  • Is Surface Change From Last -0.29
  • Today Field Size -0.26
  • Jockey Meet Win Rate -0.18
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.14

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-15 KEE 6.5f Dirt 3 2.0 91 92 Ins;3wd upr;evenly
2026-03-15 FG 6f Dirt 2 2.8 89 95 Btwn; late run; at bay
2026-02-14 FG 6f Dirt 4 4.8 84 92 Ins;chase 2w;flattened
2026-01-15 FG 6f Dirt 3 2.8 91 94 Loom ins; held show
2025-12-18 FG 6f Dirt 3 4.3 84 95 Angled 5w; up for show
2025-11-12 CD 6f Dirt 2 1.8 82 88 Ins; 3wbid; late rally
2025-06-21 CD 6f Dirt 8 7.8 72 88 Stalk4p;gave way lane
2025-05-23 CD 6.5f Dirt 5 6.5 75 91 Ins trio turn;gave way
2025-03-19 FG 5.5f Turf 7 6.0 81 92 Vied ins pair; wknd
2024-11-30 FG 6f Dirt 1 1.3 89 93 4-6path;led 1/16;clear