John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 9

HONEY DUTCH

C '23 · KNICKS GO × MS V TIME

Trainer: BECKMAN D WHITWORTH · Jockey: GAFFALIONE TYLER

Today's prediction

83.9

Speed fig

22.1%

In-the-money

Last 8 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +6.60
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.89
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.79
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.66
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.65

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -1.32
  • Today Track Code -0.78
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.39
  • Today Post Position -0.39
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.18

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-03 KEE 1.06m Turf 2 0.5 87 92 2w;duel;led 1/16;naild
2026-02-28 GP 1m Turf 2 0.3 83 92 Bmpd st;bid2w;clr;deny
2026-01-01 GP 1m Turf 2 1.5 88 90 Fast pace2p; held 2nd
2025-11-07 AQU 1.06m Turf 3 0.8 84 84 2p-ins;led past 1/16
2025-09-28 CD 1m Turf 2 0.1 87 Widend 2nd;tired;naild
2025-09-04 KD 1m Turf 1 6.8 78 76 Drew off; in hand late
2025-08-04 ELP 7f Dirt 3 8.3 65 72 Hop/off slw;4w;bid;wkn
2025-07-05 SAR 6f Dirt 6 25.8 54 96 Stumbled; bumped st