John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R1

PP 3

HOMIE

G '22 · MENDELSSOHN × FISHING

Trainer: CANO WILLIAMS · Jockey: TORRES JAIME A

Today's prediction

71.1

Speed fig

31.8%

In-the-money

Last 7 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Turf Pedigree +0.29
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.20
  • Distance Change From Last +0.19
  • Today Track Code +0.15
  • Field Size Change From Last +0.15

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -4.53
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.43
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.43
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.40
  • Last Speed Fig -0.27

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-14 TP 6.5f Dirt 8 20.0 57 84 Vied ins pair;faded1/4
2026-01-10 TP 6f Dirt 7 5.3 67 85 Dueled 2w-4p;faded btw
2025-12-06 TP 6.5f Dirt 2 1.3 80 87 Pace to str outkicked
2025-11-02 HAW 1m Turf 7 14.0 73 86 Duel ins;led3/16;tired
2025-06-28 CBY 1m Turf 2 9.3 72 No match;held place
2024-09-23 IND 1m Turf 1 0.1 77 81 Duel inside;lasted;drv
2024-06-05 IND 5f Turf 1 4.3 65 70 Duel;bid;kept to task