John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R4

PP 11

HOLYROOD

G '23 · MCKINZIE × TRAPPINGSOFSILVER

Trainer: VAUGHAN EDWARD · Jockey: HERNANDEZ B J JR

Today's prediction

72.4

Speed fig

20.7%

In-the-money

Last 4 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.65
  • Today Track Code +0.47
  • Last Speed Fig +0.33
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.30
  • Class Par Trend +0.23

Pushing prediction down

  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -1.64
  • BRIS Prime Power -1.28
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.94
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.64
  • Today Field Size -0.51

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-11 TP 1m Dirt 5 12.0 75 85 Tracked 3wd btw;no bid
2026-01-02 TP 1m Dirt 2 1.3 75 79 2wd btw;4p1/8;rallied
2025-11-13 IND 1m Turf 3 5.0 64 69 Unrushed;rally3/16rail
2025-10-01 IND 1m Turf 8 13.5 50 72 Awk;3path;bid1/4;faltr