Derby 2026
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PP 5

HIGHLY FLAMMABLE

G '19 · MUNNINGS × INFLAMED

Trainer: SHARP JOE · Jockey: ORTIZ IRAD JR

Today's prediction

87.3

Speed fig

55.6%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 83.3 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Max Speed Fig Career +1.50
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +1.27
  • Mean Speed Fig Career +0.61
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.45
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 +0.42

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.66
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.48
  • Prior Starts At Churchill -0.09
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.08
  • Class Par Trend -0.03

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-19 TP 6.5f Dirt 1 3.8 89 86 3p;vied 2w;drove clear
2026-02-26 TP 6f Dirt 2 2.3 87 86 Stalked ins; ran on
2026-01-14 TP 6f Dirt 1 1.3 82 84 4p;rallied;drove past
2025-12-11 TP 5.5f Dirt 3 1.0 80 84 Outs run; battled show
2025-10-31 WO 6f Dirt 4 4.0 81 84 One paced;minor share
2025-10-12 WO 5.5f Dirt 2 0.5 87 84 Surge late;not in time
2025-06-12 WO 5.5f Dirt 2 1.0 86 86 Chased winner home
2025-03-22 GP 5f Dirt 4 3.3 80 89 5wd; mild rally
2025-01-30 GP 5.5f Dirt 2 1.3 80 85 3p turn;6p lane;ran on
2024-12-27 GP 5f Dirt 3 4.8 81 87 3-4w turn; moved up