John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R10

PP 3

HIGHLY CONNECTED

G '23 · CONNECT × CALL OF LOVE

Trainer: WILLIAMS MATT · Jockey: ORTIZ IRAD JR

Today's prediction

80.4

Speed fig

45.6%

In-the-money

Last 7 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +2.11
  • Today Track Code +0.67
  • Class Par Trend +0.27
  • Last Speed Fig +0.23
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.21

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.25
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.16
  • Field Early Speed Count -0.13
  • Today Field Size -0.11
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Last -0.11

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-18 OP 1.13m Dirt 5 5.8 83 91 Bump st;2p3/8;6p lane
2026-03-26 OP 1m Dirt 2 7.0 75 87 2p;swung5p str;kept on
2026-02-26 OP 1.06m Dirt 6 6.0 75 87 Bump 1st; 4-3p; weaken
2026-02-07 OP 1.06m Dirt 3 0.3 78 83 4p1/4;6p lane;kick on
2025-12-27 OP 6f Dirt 1 1.3 83 77 Steered 4w;late surge
2025-10-10 KEE 1.06m Dirt 9 40.5 51 82 Ins;chck 1st;faded 2nd
2025-09-19 CD 7f Dirt 6 19.5 69 84 2p;chased 3pupr;no bid