Derby 2026
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PP 6

HIGH FASHION KATE

M '21 · DEMARCHELIER × IN THE ROUGH

Trainer: BLAIR JORDAN · Jockey: MORALES EDGAR

Today's prediction

83.5

Speed fig

21.3%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 83.2 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.60
  • Days Since Last Race +0.53
  • Speed Fig Consistency +0.48
  • Prior Starts At Churchill +0.27
  • Class Par Trend +0.21

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -1.71
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.28
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -0.17
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 -0.14
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.06

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2025-06-05 CD 5.5f Turf 2 0.1 87 87 Ins;splt 1/8;led;naild
2025-05-01 CD 5f Turf 5 2.5 87 86 Stalk 3w;chsd 4-5p;evn
2025-04-10 KEE 5.5f Turf 3 2.0 84 Pull2p;stdy;brsh rl1/4
2025-03-15 TP 6f Dirt 9 11.8 71 90 Veer in sharply start
2025-02-13 TP 6f Dirt 1 2.5 79 86 Maintained advantage
2024-12-18 TP 6f Dirt 11 10.3 66 91 Slow stride no menace
2024-11-22 CD 5.5f Turf 2 0.1 82 87 3-2w;duel;lug in;outkk
2024-09-20 CD 6f Dirt 1 2.5 85 82 Stalk 2w-3p;cleard 1/8
2024-08-19 ELP 7f Dirt 3 7.8 68 83 Pace; ins upr;faltered
2024-07-29 ELP 6f Dirt 4 5.3 77 80 Stalk 2w-3p;yieldd btw