John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R5

PP 8

HIGGINSVILLE

G '21 · NOT THIS TIME × LADY SOUL

Trainer: HARTMAN CHRIS · Jockey: ELLIOTT JANE

Today's prediction

74.0

Speed fig

21.4%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.57
  • Last Finish Pos +0.42
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.31
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.28
  • BRIS Turf Pedigree +0.27

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -3.67
  • Today Post Position -0.32
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.31
  • Jockey Meet Itm Rate -0.22
  • Num Career Starts -0.18

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-27 OP 1.06m Dirt 1 4.8 80 82 Bid 3p1/4; drew clear
2026-02-14 OP 6f Dirt 11 14.8 69 88 Inside; never menaced
2025-04-27 OP 1.06m Dirt 5 6.5 74 86 Step slow;4w 2nd;empty
2025-04-12 OP 1.06m Dirt 3 2.3 81 85 Forward3w;bid;not enuf
2025-03-12 FG 1.06m Turf 5 4.8 75 83 Stalk ins;chsd;yielded
2025-02-17 FG 1m Turf 1 0.3 77 75 Ins;split 2w1/8;edged
2025-01-05 FG 1.04m Dirt 2 2.8 81 76 Trck 4p;edged place1/8
2024-12-15 FG 1m Turf 5 4.0 68 76 4-2w bid;not enough
2024-11-29 FG 1.06m Turf 3 4.0 73 82 6-p uppr;moved up
2024-07-15 ELP 1m Turf 5 8.3 67 80 2w;chsd 4-6p2nd;no bid