John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R6

PP 2

HEREFORAGOODTIME

F '22 · JUSTIFY × FIRST HOUR

Trainer: WALSH BRENDAN P · Jockey: CANNON DECLAN

Today's prediction

85.4

Speed fig

32.4%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +5.82
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.84
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.80
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.74
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.43

Pushing prediction down

  • Days Since Last Race -0.27
  • Starts Last 180d -0.21
  • Num Career Starts -0.18
  • Last Finish Pos -0.16
  • Today Field Size -0.12

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2025-11-15 AQU 1.38m Turf 7 5.8 77 88 Pulled;2-3p;out;empty
2025-09-10 KD 1.31m Turf 3 3.8 89 88 3-4p; bid 3/16; evenly
2025-08-03 ELP 1.13m Turf 2 3.8 87 88 Stmbld st;2w;rally btw
2025-05-31 CD 1.13m Turf 3 1.5 91 88 Ins;btw;3-4p upr;grind
2025-05-08 CD 1.06m Turf 1 1.5 87 82 Ins;2w1/2;4w1/4;rally
2025-04-07 KEE 1.13m Dirt 1 3.8 88 81 Prompt 2wd;drove clear
2025-03-02 GP 1.13m Turf 3 4.3 79 80 Rail; drift out 3/16
2025-01-19 GP 1.06m Dirt 2 0.3 81 80 Bid btw;duel ins;game
2024-09-22 CD 1m Dirt 7 30.5 48 82 Inside; lacked rally
2024-07-29 ELP 1m Dirt 4 6.0 71 76 2p-ins;3w3/16;stay btw