Derby 2026
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PP 2

HEARTILY

g '23 · COMPLEXITY × WE LOVE LUCY

Trainer: WARD WESLEY A · Jockey: VELAZQUEZ J R

Today's prediction

82.8

Speed fig

27.6%

In-the-money

Last 3 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 83.2 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.95
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.77
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.74
  • Days Since Last Race +0.65
  • Speed Fig Consistency +0.46

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -2.63
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -0.36
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.29
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 -0.26
  • Speed Fig Trend -0.22

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-01-15 TP 6.5f Dirt 6 6.0 70 90 Tug;3p;6pbtw upr;yield
2025-10-25 KEE 6f Dirt 4 25.5 51 91 Stp slw;prmpt 2w;caved
2025-10-04 KEE 6f Dirt 1 6.5 88 89 Ins;drew off;driving