John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 11

HAYWINII

F '23 · CONNECT × JULERETTE

Trainer: COLEBROOK BEN · Jockey: MACHADO LUAN

Today's prediction

67.5

Speed fig

22.1%

In-the-money

Last 3 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Today Track Code +0.28
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 +0.21
  • Speed Fig Consistency +0.18
  • Distance Change From Last +0.15
  • Num Career Starts +0.14

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -4.21
  • Field Size Change From Last -1.09
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -1.06
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.95
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.75

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-05-01 CD 1.06m Dirt 6 35.8 48 84 Press 3pbtw;wkn/bmp3/8
2026-04-11 KEE 7f Dirt 7 17.0 69 88 Bump st;ins;shift out
2026-03-11 TP 6f Dirt 2 4.0 73 82 5p;rallied btw;up show