John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R4

PP 1

HARDLY READY

F '23 · MORE THAN READY × HARD LEGACY

Trainer: MOREY WILLIAM E · Jockey: ANTONGEORGI WILLIAM JR

Today's prediction

64.6

Speed fig

4.1%

In-the-money

Last 2 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.23
  • Weight Change From Last +0.22
  • Today Post Position +0.13
  • Days Since Last Race +0.11
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.11

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -5.66
  • Field Size Change From Last -1.39
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -1.30
  • Distance Change From Last -0.78
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.57

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-20 TP 6.5f Dirt 2 0.8 72 72 5-6p;rallied;missed
2026-02-06 SA 6f Turf 5 8.3 68 76 Step slw;ins;no factor