John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R8

PP 5

HAMMOND

C '23 · CHARLATAN × SWEET KISSES

Trainer: JOSEPH SAFFIE A JR · Jockey: GAFFALIONE TYLER

Today's prediction

85.4

Speed fig

48.2%

In-the-money

Last 6 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +4.13
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.99
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.73
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.70
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.67

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -0.17
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max -0.16
  • BRIS Mud Pedigree -0.13
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.12
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Last -0.10

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-17 OP 6f Dirt 4 2.0 86 90 Ins3/8;6p lane;stay on
2026-02-28 AQU 1m Dirt 6 12.0 81 97 Chased 3-2w; tired
2026-01-31 GP 7f Dirt 3 5.5 91 93 Head turned start; 5p
2025-11-22 GP 6.5f Dirt 1 2.0 87 90 Stalk 2wd;drew clear
2025-09-07 GP 6f Dirt 1 2.5 78 83 Bmp;chk;drvpst;clrd
2025-08-09 GP 7f Dirt 5 8.0 75 83 Hop st;gain;flattened