John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R2

PP 5

HALEAKALA

F '22 · VOLATILE × OUT OF TROUBLE

Trainer: CALHOUN WILLIAM BRET · Jockey: CONCEPCION AXEL

Today's prediction

75.1

Speed fig

50.6%

In-the-money

Last 9 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.45
  • Field Size Change From Last +0.18
  • Today Track Code +0.17
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.17
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.11

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.58
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.51
  • Distance Change From Last -0.45
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.36
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.30

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-09 KEE 7f Dirt 6 6.5 70 78 Shuf btw9/16;4-3p;mild
2026-03-07 HOU 5.5f Dirt 4 8.0 70 81 Vied2w;needed more
2026-02-14 HOU 6.5f Dirt 6 10.0 66 81 Vied ins;weakened str
2026-01-24 HOU 6f Dirt 4 9.0 70 81 Prssd5w; outrun late
2025-12-17 RP 5.5f Dirt 3 0.3 85 82 Rank; 4w; finish well
2025-11-06 RP 6.5f Dirt 1 3.0 84 79 Vied 3w; drew off late
2025-09-18 RP 5.5f Dirt 2 1.3 77 79 Pace; 2w; hung late
2024-09-15 CD 5.5f Dirt 3 1.3 78 83 Ins;long duel;outkickd
2024-08-10 ELP 5f Dirt 3 3.0 74 74 Bid upper; weakened