John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R7

PP 6

GREAT MOMENT

C '22 · FLATTER × JOSAKA

Trainer: FOLEY GREG · Jockey: GAFFALIONE TYLER

Today's prediction

78.8

Speed fig

38.0%

In-the-money

Last 7 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +1.90
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.63
  • Today Track Code +0.40
  • Last Speed Fig +0.26
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.18

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -0.33
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.21
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.16
  • Field Early Speed Count -0.14
  • Field Avg Quirin -0.13

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-10 KEE 6f Dirt 3 1.8 84 94 Bpd btw st;3-4p;ran on
2026-02-21 FG 6f Dirt 2 3.8 86 87 Track3w; improved
2025-03-19 FG 5.5f Turf 5 9.8 68 84 2p;shuffled 5/16;nobid
2025-02-15 FG 6f Dirt 7 12.5 68 88 2-3p;yield btw;left ld
2025-01-20 FG 6f Dirt 3 7.3 76 88 2p;5p upr;edged show
2024-11-27 CD 5.5f Dirt 4 13.0 66 84 Bump st;ins;mvd up btw
2024-11-01 CD 6f Dirt 8 11.5 68 84 Step slow/bump;6p3/16