John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R3

PP 2

GREAT ESCAPE

G '19 · MIDNIGHT STORM × CHICKASAW GAL

Trainer: DIODORO ROBERTINO · Jockey: TORRES CRISTIAN A

Today's prediction

81.9

Speed fig

42.3%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +3.67
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.98
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.66
  • Speed Fig Consistency +0.32
  • Today Field Size +0.22

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.48
  • Last Speed Fig -0.26
  • Num Career Starts -0.19
  • Last Finish Pos -0.16
  • Jockey Meet Itm Rate -0.15

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-04 EVD 1m Dirt 8 22.8 63 95 Brief speed; done
2026-01-19 FG 1.06m Dirt 1 5.3 92 85 Ins;cued5/16;kick away
2025-06-11 CD 1.06m Dirt 7 20.8 67 90 Stalk 2w;chsd;fade5/16
2025-05-09 CD 1.06m Dirt 4 5.0 87 90 Press 2w;bid;outkck1/8
2025-01-25 DED 7.5f Dirt 4 2.8 78 85 Caught for third
2025-01-03 DED 7.5f Dirt 2 1.0 83 85 Ins;splithorses;2ndbst
2024-08-24 CML 1.25m Dirt 6 11.8 81 94 Fan4w;no response
2024-07-12 CML 1m Dirt 3 1.3 89 96 Wide;clsd;steadied
2024-06-21 CML 7f Dirt 2 1.8 88 92 Drpd bck;surged late
2024-04-27 FON 1.06m Dirt 5 20.0 76 95 Inside; no solid bid