John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 3

GRANDE

C '22 · CURLIN × JOURNEY HOME

Trainer: PLETCHER TODD A · Jockey: VELAZQUEZ J R

Today's prediction

96.9

Speed fig

48.3%

In-the-money

Last 5 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +8.09
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +3.37
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.73
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.52
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +1.22

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Track Code -0.17
  • Speed Fig Trend -0.17
  • Mean Speed Fig Career -0.12
  • Tj Combo Starts 365d Log -0.12
  • Mean Btn Lengths Last 5 -0.09

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-28 GP 1.06m Dirt 1 0.8 97 99 Dawdled2p;roused;held
2026-02-14 GP 1m Dirt 1 0.8 103 98 2p;headed;battled back
2025-04-05 AQU 1.13m Dirt 2 3.5 101 98 4-5w 1st trn; mild bid
2025-02-27 GP 1.13m Dirt 1 2.5 87 92 2wd; clear; ridden out
2025-01-11 GP 1m Dirt 1 2.5 88 87 Bid2p turn;drew clear