John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R6

PP 1

GOOD CALL

F '22 · MAXIMUM SECURITY × PRIVATE TALK

Trainer: SHORTER AARON · Jockey: ARRIETA FRANCISCO

Today's prediction

76.8

Speed fig

26.1%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.67
  • Last Speed Fig +0.25
  • Last Finish Pos +0.22
  • Today Post Position +0.20
  • Distance Change From Last +0.20

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.50
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.27
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.25
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.17
  • Today Track Code -0.16

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-12 OP 6f Dirt 1 1.8 81 87 Ins-2p;cued1/4; dug in
2026-02-22 OP 6f Dirt 6 9.5 66 88 Chase 4p; not threaten
2025-12-28 OP 6f Dirt 4 10.3 72 84 Even effort inside
2025-06-11 DEL 6f Dirt 3 2.8 83 87 Stalk 2p; evenly
2025-05-21 DEL 6f Dirt 6 7.8 71 84 Off pace; no factor
2025-04-25 OP 6f Dirt 4 9.8 80 86 Forward 3w;empty drive
2025-03-30 OP 6f Dirt 3 1.5 86 89 Rail bid;outkicked 2nd
2025-03-15 OP 6f Dirt 1 7.3 84 77 Swept up 4w;ridden out
2025-01-03 OP 6f Dirt 2 1.0 77 74 Chased;closed gap late
2024-08-26 IND 5f Turf 6 6.3 68 68 Brsh st;press2p;settld