John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R6

PP 8

GOATS ON A TREE

M '21 · BOLT D'ORO × THE RAHY ANGEL

Trainer: MAKER MICHAEL J · Jockey: ORTIZ IRAD JR

Today's prediction

83.4

Speed fig

51.9%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +5.41
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.83
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.62
  • Today Track Code +0.39
  • Class Par Trend +0.29

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.59
  • Today Post Position -0.41
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.19
  • Jockey Meet Win Rate -0.19
  • Today Field Size -0.16

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-10 KEE 1.06m Turf 6 4.8 85 Saved ground;willingly
2026-03-14 TP 1m Dirt 3 2.5 78 88 Ins;3w btw1/16;mss plc
2026-02-12 TP 1m Dirt 3 3.5 80 88 3-4p;btw 2nd;best rest
2025-11-15 CD 1.06m Turf 3 1.3 85 77 2p;bid3w;caught;held3d
2025-10-18 BAQ 1.06m Turf 1 0.3 83 78 Pressd;bid2w;prevailed
2025-09-07 KD 7f Turf 5 8.5 78 87 Stlkd 3p outside;faded
2025-07-24 SAR 1.06m Turf 5 7.5 85 87 Rated ins; weakened
2025-04-06 KEE 1m Dirt 1 11.8 87 87 Clear in hand 2nd;drvg
2025-02-12 GP 1m Turf 1 0.1 87 79 3-2wd; up 1/16; dug in
2024-08-08 SAR 1m Dirt 1 4.8 89 79 5-3p turns;drift about