John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R4

PP 3

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F '23 · KNICKS GO × REVEALING QUALITY

Trainer: MCPEEK KENNETH G · Jockey: ORTIZ JOSE L

Today's prediction

81.9

Speed fig

51.7%

In-the-money

Last 7 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +3.00
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.60
  • Today Track Code +0.58
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.48
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.31

Pushing prediction down

  • Trainer Meet Win Rate -0.12
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.12
  • Today Purse Log10 -0.10
  • Jockey Meet Win Rate -0.09
  • Tj Combo Roi 365d -0.09

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-09 KEE 1.06m Dirt 5 15.0 76 87 Stalk 4-3p;fade btw2nd
2025-11-29 CD 6.5f Dirt 5 9.3 82 90 Ins;5p btw upr;no thrt
2025-10-26 CD 1.06m Dirt 3 5.5 81 91 Lean out st;gain 3w2nd
2025-10-03 KEE 1.06m Dirt 4 6.3 87 94 Ins;chsd 4p3/16;no bid
2025-08-08 ELP 1m Dirt 1 0.1 77 78 3-2w;led;headd;game;up
2025-06-27 CD 6f Dirt 3 3.0 75 84 3p5/16;bump7p upr;gain
2025-06-11 CD 5.5f Dirt 4 2.0 76 84 2wbtw;alterd 1/8;wllng