John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R1

PP 5

GLADLY

F '22 · BERNARDINI × JOYSOME

Trainer: CARAMORI CAIO · Jockey: TORRES JAIME A

Today's prediction

68.3

Speed fig

46.1%

In-the-money

Last 5 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Today Track Code +0.23
  • Num Career Starts +0.19
  • Weight Change From Last +0.15
  • Tj Combo Win Rate 365d +0.12
  • Distance Change From Last +0.11

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -4.30
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.80
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.51
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.47
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.44

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-26 TP 6f Dirt 3 4.3 63 74 Chsd;gd fnsh;gain3rd
2025-09-26 SA 1m Turf 6 7.5 74 79 Hugged rail; no impact
2025-08-17 DMR 1m Turf 7 9.8 68 79 Svd ground; no factor
2025-07-18 DMR 1m Turf 10 14.0 72 82 3-2w;3-4w-ins;no factr
2025-05-18 SA 6.5f Turf 6 6.0 72 84 Off pace;2-3w;improved