John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 6

GIOCOSO

C '22 · NOT THIS TIME × NUTCRACKER SUITE

Trainer: DESORMEAUX J KEITH · Jockey: GRAHAM J

Today's prediction

88.7

Speed fig

7.0%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +7.52
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.82
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.93
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.90
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.81

Pushing prediction down

  • Days Since Last Race -0.52
  • Num Career Starts -0.34
  • Starts Last 180d -0.22
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.18
  • Jockey Meet Itm Rate -0.18

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2025-11-22 CD 1.06m Turf 1 0.1 92 91 3p;6p1/4;rallied;up
2025-10-25 KEE 1m Turf 3 1.8 88 91 Off slw;stdy 3p1st;btw
2025-09-06 KD 1m Turf 2 1.0 87 94 Rate bk;clrd 3/16;game
2025-08-09 CNL 1m Turf 1 1.0 83 92 Ins;wait1/4;bid;clear
2025-05-03 CD 1.06m Turf 5 4.0 89 97 4w1st;8p upr;mvd up
2025-03-22 TP 1.13m Dirt 5 7.0 93 97 Bumped; bothered start
2025-02-15 FG 1.13m Dirt 12 39.5 61 98 Keen early;4p;tire btw
2024-11-08 CD 1.06m Turf 1 0.8 84 Ins;4pupr;rally btw;up
2024-10-06 KEE 1.06m Turf 6 4.3 82 87 2p-ins;shft out;ran on
2024-09-14 CD 1m Dirt 3 7.0 85 89 Tug 3w;turned away 1/4