John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R10

PP 6

GEZORA

F '22 · ALMANZOR × GERMANCE

Trainer: BROWN CHAD C · Jockey: PRAT FLAVIEN

Today's prediction

93.2

Speed fig

46.4%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +8.95
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +3.35
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.90
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.16
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +1.02

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Speed Fig Career -0.52
  • Num Career Starts -0.41
  • Days Since Last Race -0.37
  • Starts Last 180d -0.28
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.27

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2025-11-01 DMR 1.38m Turf 1 0.5 107 97 2-3wd;rallied;up late
2025-10-05 LCH 1.49m Turf 13 10.5
2025-09-07 LCH 1.49m Turf 2 1.5
2025-06-15 CHY 1.31m Turf 1 1.0
2025-05-11 LCH 1.24m Turf 1 1.3
2025-04-06 LCH 1.12m Turf 3 4.3
2024-10-21 DVL 8.0f Turf 1 1.8
2024-09-21 CHY 1.12m Turf 2 0.3
2024-08-27 DPP 1.12m Turf 1 1.0
2024-07-23 DPP 7.0f Turf 4 1.0