John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R8

PP 8

GERLIN'S EMPIRE

F '22 · CLASSIC EMPIRE × FRENCH PRESS

Trainer: STEWART DALLAS · Jockey: TORRES CRISTIAN A

Today's prediction

77.7

Speed fig

19.7%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +3.33
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.60
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.46
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.21
  • Last Speed Fig +0.20

Pushing prediction down

  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -1.57
  • Today Field Size -0.94
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.34
  • Today Post Position -0.29
  • Jockey Meet Itm Rate -0.16

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-18 OP 1.06m Dirt 4 5.0 83 88 2-4p;btwn far;flatten
2026-03-14 OP 6f Dirt 6 3.5 78 91 Imprvd inside;flattend
2026-01-31 FG 6f Dirt 5 13.5 76 87 Trail; outs; pass foes
2025-11-24 MVR 6f Dirt 4 7.8 85 91 Bump st;4-5p1/4;flatnd
2025-10-29 CD 6f Dirt 3 9.0 77 91 2p;ran on ins;up show
2025-09-20 CD 7f Dirt 6 7.8 81 95 Track 3p;chased;tired
2025-07-05 ELP 6f Dirt 2 3.3 85 91 Brush st;4-5p;rallied
2025-05-08 CD 6.5f Dirt 1 0.8 85 85 Stalk 3w;bid;clrd;held
2025-03-16 FG 6f Dirt 3 4.0 89 86 Step slow;3w;willingly
2025-02-17 FG 6f Dirt 2 2.0 81 86 Ins;3pbtw1/4;dueld plc