John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R5

PP 4

FULL DISCLOSURE

G '19 · CAJUN BREEZE × THELADYSAIDNO

Trainer: JEHALUDI AMZADALI · Jockey: BESCHIZZA ADAM

Today's prediction

83.6

Speed fig

17.4%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +2.89
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.90
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.26
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.00
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.75

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Purse Log10 -0.77
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.33
  • Num Career Starts -0.23
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max -0.20
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Mean -0.19

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-18 KEE 5.5f Turf 5 5.5 87 Ins;chsd 2p upr;yieldd
2026-01-24 GP 5f Turf 2 0.3 94 95 Rail; led; nailed
2025-12-20 GP 5f Turf 7 4.3 86 94 Bump st; checked 7/16
2025-11-22 GP 5.5f Dirt 1 1.5 91 96 Duel ins;shook free
2024-12-26 GP 5.5f Dirt 4 3.5 83 90 Pressd;4p 3/16;wknd
2024-11-10 GP 5f Turf 2 0.1 87 88 Ins; led 1/16; nailed
2024-06-06 GP 5.5f Dirt 5 7.5 83 90 Stumbled brk;3-w turn
2024-04-27 GP 5f Turf 9 8.3 80 Checked into turn; 2wd
2024-03-29 GP 5f Turf 6 4.8 84 92 Rail; drift into str
2024-02-04 GP 5f Dirt 2 2.0 88 94 Rail;2wd 3/16;held 2nd