John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R7

PP 1

FROSTED BULL

G '22 · FROSTED × CYPRIANA

Trainer: PITTS HELEN · Jockey: TORRES JAIME A

Today's prediction

65.6

Speed fig

16.9%

In-the-money

Last 8 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.32
  • Today Post Position +0.27
  • Run Style P +0.13
  • Num Career Starts +0.12
  • Had Trouble Last Race +0.12

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -8.64
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.79
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.51
  • Days Since Last Race -0.42
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.32

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2025-12-05 GP 1m Turf 8 4.5 69 82 Off slow;steadied 3/16
2025-11-14 GP 5f Dirt 5 13.5 56 87 Off slow;swung widest
2025-08-15 MTH 6f Dirt 5 13.3 69 92 Chased 3w; weakened
2025-07-18 MTH 6f Dirt 1 0.1 67 84 Bump st; inherit lead
2025-05-26 MTH 1.06m Turf 6 6.8 75 83 Bid 3w turn; weakened
2025-05-04 LRL 1m Dirt 4 12.0 74 86 Rail; gave way
2025-04-06 LRL 1m Dirt 2 3.5 73 85 Stdyd 3/4;angl 4w;game
2025-03-15 CNL 1m Dirt 3 17.0 66 85 Brushd start;by-faders