John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R2

PP 2

FRESH OUT

F '23 · VOLATILE × LYRICAL LADY

Trainer: MCPEEK KENNETH G · Jockey: ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL

Today's prediction

69.5

Speed fig

31.1%

In-the-money

Last 6 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Today Track Code +0.39
  • Today Post Position +0.22
  • Today Field Size +0.14
  • Last Finish Pos +0.14
  • Field Avg Quirin +0.14

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -4.53
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.87
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.82
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.79
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.53

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-30 CD 1m Dirt 1 0.1 71 75 Track 2wd btw;5p1/4;up
2026-04-08 KEE 6.5f Dirt 6 9.8 65 82 Ins;4-6p turn;left ld
2026-03-08 OP 6f Dirt 4 5.0 68 80 Bump st;2-4p;flattened
2026-02-19 OP 6f Dirt 7 16.8 53 78 Awk st; rail; gave way
2026-02-13 FG 1.06m Turf 9 17.3 57 73 Saved ground;no bid
2026-01-15 FG 5.5f Turf 7 4.0 71 80 Bmpst; trail; improved