John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R6

PP 12

FRENCH BLUE

F '23 · GUN RUNNER × TWENTY CARAT

Trainer: BAFFERT BOB · Jockey: PRAT FLAVIEN

Today's prediction

82.2

Speed fig

36.4%

In-the-money

Last 3 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +5.37
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.70
  • Distance Change From Last +0.35
  • BRIS Mud Pedigree +0.30
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.26

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -1.24
  • Field Size Change From Last -1.14
  • Today Post Position -0.35
  • Last Speed Fig -0.30
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.21

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-04 SA 1.06m Dirt 5 24.3 64 95 Led inside; retreated
2026-03-08 SA 1.06m Dirt 3 3.3 84 94 Pace inside;weakened
2026-01-08 SA 6f Dirt 1 2.3 83 90 3deep;clear;ridden out