John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Laurel Park R2

PP 4

FREEZE THE FIRE

G '20 · FRIESAN FIRE × SCENARIO ANALYSIS

Trainer: SALZMAN JOHN E JR · Jockey: ORTIZ IRAD JR

Today's prediction

87.7

Speed fig

43.0%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +5.27
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.38
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.24
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.03
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.77

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Weight -0.43
  • Today Field Size -0.30
  • Weight Change From Last -0.21
  • BRIS Mud Pedigree -0.15
  • Trainer Meet Starts Log -0.12

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-24 KEE 6f Dirt 5 8.5 81 91 Bpd btw st;2p;mild ins
2026-03-22 LRL 6f Dirt 1 4.8 93 89 Rate bk;cruis 4w;r out
2026-02-14 LRL 7f Dirt 6 12.5 87 99 Btwn foes;weakened
2026-01-23 LRL 7f Dirt 2 1.3 85 89 Slo start;rail;4w 3/16
2025-12-20 LRL 6f Dirt 1 2.3 95 89 Ins;angl;forge clr;drv
2025-11-29 LRL 6f Dirt 1 1.0 96 89 Eased out turn;up
2025-10-31 LRL 6f Dirt 1 0.8 89 89 Rate;off duel;4wd;drvg
2025-08-29 TIM 6.5f Dirt 1 0.1 74 76 Inside;resurgent;drvng
2025-07-16 DEL 5.5f Dirt 5 5.0 83 94 Retreated 1/4
2025-06-15 LRL 7f Dirt 5 7.8 81 93 2w;met outer bids;wkn