John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R7

PP 4

FLYIN PRIVATE

G '22 · LAOBAN × ALL IN WITH ACES

Trainer: HARTMAN CHRIS · Jockey: HERNANDEZ B J JR

Today's prediction

71.4

Speed fig

25.9%

In-the-money

Last 8 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.23
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.22
  • Speed Fig Consistency +0.18
  • Days Since Last Race +0.14
  • Num Career Starts +0.14

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -3.75
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.39
  • Last Speed Fig -0.29
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.25
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -0.20

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-19 OP 6f Dirt 3 2.3 64 83 Rail; cued5/16; dug in
2026-03-27 OP 6f Dirt 7 13.5 61 85 Bump st; 3p; left lead
2026-01-04 OP 6f Dirt 1 0.8 88 81 Outside bid;edging clr
2025-04-12 OP 6f Dirt 5 4.5 84 87 Evenly 4w
2025-03-15 OP 6f Dirt 4 7.5 74 86 Bid btwn 1/4;flattened
2025-02-14 SA 1m Dirt 5 16.0 79 94 Pace 2w-ins;gave way
2024-07-27 DMR 1m Turf 8 16.5 57 82 Stalked inside; tired
2024-05-30 CD 5.5f Dirt 5 9.5 61 85 Inside turn;lacked bid