PP 10
FLY GUY MICK
G '22 · MCKINZIE × RISE ABOVE
Trainer: BOGLE FERGUS · Jockey: GAFFALIONE TYLER
Today's prediction
79.2
Speed fig
32.1%
In-the-money
Last 8 races
Why this prediction?
Base prediction: 83.2 fig points
Pushing prediction up
- Max Speed Fig Career +0.89
- Days Since Last Race +0.49
- Speed Fig Consistency +0.34
- Prior Starts At Churchill +0.16
- BRIS Dirt Pedigree +0.09
Pushing prediction down
- BRIS Prime Power -4.25
- Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -1.17
- Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.50
- Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.22
- Mean Speed Fig Career -0.06
Past performances
| Date | Track | Dist | Sfx | Fin | Beat | Fig | Class | Comment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | TP | 1.25m | Dirt | 6 | 11.0 | 75 | 87 | 3-4p;flattn btw 5p3/16 |
| 2026-02-11 | TP | 1m | Dirt | 3 | 6.8 | 75 | 81 | In;chsd 2-3p2d;no mtch |
| 2025-12-26 | TP | 1m | Dirt | 2 | 1.5 | 87 | 80 | 2-3p;4-5p3/16;bid |
| 2025-11-20 | CD | 1.13m | Dirt | 5 | 18.0 | 70 | 87 | Ins;2w btw3/4;fade 2nd |
| 2025-09-25 | CD | 1m | Dirt | 6 | 15.5 | 61 | 85 | Ins;blocked 1/4;outrun |
| 2025-07-13 | ELP | 1m | Dirt | 5 | 8.8 | 73 | 90 | Bobbled st; 3p upper |
| 2025-06-21 | CD | 1m | Dirt | 3 | 4.0 | 82 | 90 | 2-3p;flatten final1/8 |
| 2025-06-01 | CD | 7f | Dirt | 4 | 13.5 | 77 | 90 | Hesitated st;left lead |